The Royal Society of Tasmania

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“Volcanoes on the seafloor” presented by Professor Jocelyn McPhie Tuesday May 6th 2014


 

Tuesday 6 May 8.00 pm Royal Society Room

Professor Jocelyn McPhie is a geologist specialising in volcanology. She completed undergraduate and post-graduate degrees at Macquarie University and the University of New England, followed by a Fulbright Fellowship in the USA, a von Humboldt Fellowship in Germany, and a Queen Elizabeth II Fellowship in Canberra. She then joined the University of Tasmania where she is currently the Head of Earth Sciences. She teaches in the undergraduate program, and conducts research in physical volcanology and links between volcanic and ore-forming hydrothermal processes. Her expertise in unravelling complicated volcanic successions has led to numerous consultancies conducted for companies exploring for ore deposits in volcanic regions.
Volcanoes on land regularly capture our attention, usually because they have produced spectacular or destructive eruptions. Land volcanoes have also been the focus of conventional volcanological research. However, volcanoes on the modern seafloor are more abundant than those on land, and submarine volcanic successions dominate the rocks that form the continents. Submarine volcanoes are also closely associated with important metal ore deposits. Research on underwater eruptions uses data from a combination of field work, modelling, and experiments. Of particular importance for eruption dynamics are the different physical properties of water versus air as the medium in which eruptions operate. Research underway at UTas has demonstrated that these physical properties have a major impact on subaqueous explosive eruptions, leading to the definition of a new eruption style. Our current research is focussed on devising a practical, intensity-based classification of submarine eruptions that will streamline how we communicate and allow identification of key research questions going forward.

 

MR Banks Lecture – Prof. Emily Hilder – Taking separations from the laboratory to the sample to the individual – April 1 2014


Taking separations from the laboratory to the sample to the individual – Prof. Emily Hilder

 

The fundamental physical processes of separation science were identified over a century ago, with progress in the field since driven by the demands of biological, pharmaceutical, environmental and forensic science and realised through developments in technology. With these developments has come the demand for faster separations of more complex samples, using smaller, ideally portable devices. This presentation will introduce examples of how technology for separation science is being made smaller, faster and ‘smarter’ with a focus on new developments in materials science that are making this possible.

Emily Hilder is Professor of Chemistry in the School of Physical Sciences and Australian Centre for Research on Separation Science (ACROSS) and Director of the ARC Training Centre for Portable Analytical Separation Technologies at the University of Tasmania. Her research focuses on the design and application of new polymeric materials to improve analytical separations and on ways to make analytical systems smaller and more portable. She has over 100 peer-reviewed publications and is an Editor of the Journal of Separation Science.

All are warmly invited to the lecture on Tuesday 1 April at 8 pm in the Royal Society Room, TMAG (entry from Dunn Place off Davey Street).

 

Press Release – Award Announcements


MEDIA RELEASE – 19 March 2014

Awards announced by The Royal Society of Tasmania

The Royal Society of Tasmania has announced its latest awards honouring
outstanding achievements by Tasmanian researchers. For 170 years the Society has
been promoting Tasmanian historical, scientific and technological knowledge for the
benefit of Tasmanians.
Exciting new research into the physiology and clinical consequences of high blood
pressure has won Dr Martin Schultz from the Menzies Research Institute Tasmania
the Society’s Doctoral Award. Dr Schultz’s research program highlighted novel
clinical discoveries and the outcomes can immediately be applied to lifestyle
intervention.
‘The Society commends Dr Schultz for his work and is confident that it will have
widespread impact,’ said Prof. Ross Large, President of The Royal Society of
Tasmania.
Professor Brad Potts from the University of Tasmania has won the Clive Lord
Memorial Medal for his work on eucalypt genetics. The medal is awarded to a
scholar distinguished for research in Tasmanian science or Tasmanian history. While
Prof. Potts’ particular focus has been Tasmanian eucalypts, he is the most highly cited
researcher world-wide on eucalypt genetics and has over 200 publications.
‘This award is recognition of the dynamic group of scientists and students working on
eucalypts at the University of Tasmania, strong support from industry and national
and international science collaborators as well as the fantastic living laboratory
afforded by Tasmania’s eucalypt forests,’ said Prof. Potts.
Professor Potts’ research has taken him to numerous countries around the world
where eucalypts, particularly the Tasmanian blue gum, are grown.
‘Australia’s iconic eucalypts are the most widely planted hardwood trees in the world,
and the Tasmanian blue gum is one of the most widely grown eucalypt species,’ Prof.
Potts said.

The prestigious Royal Society of Tasmania Medal, first awarded in 1927, has
been awarded to eminent oceanographer Prof. Trevor McDougall for his
internationally recognised research on ocean mixing and how it is represented in
climate models. His work on ocean physics is fundamental to understanding ocean
circulation and the way that heat is transferred between the ocean and the
atmosphere in the climate system.
Prof. McDougall was elected a Fellow of The Royal Society of London in 2012 and
was nominated as the leading figure in the thermodynamics of seawater. He is now at
the School of Mathematics and Statistics at the University of New South Wales in
Sydney and is also an Honorary Fellow at the CSIRO Marine Labs in Hobart.
Interested community members will have the opportunity to hear more about Prof.
McDougall’s work later this year when he delivers The Royal Society of Tasmania
Lecture in Hobart.
The M R Banks Medal (first awarded in 1997), awarded to a scholar of distinction
in mid-career, has been won by Prof. Emily Hilder from the University of Tasmania
for her exciting work in the field of chemistry.
Prof. Hilder is Professor of Chemistry in the Australian Centre for Research on
Separation Science (ACROSS) and Director of the ARC Training Centre for
Portable Analytical Separation Technologies at UTAS. Her research in separation
science has focussed on the design and application of new polymeric materials to
improve analytical separations and on ways to make analytical systems smaller and
more portable.
Prof. Hilder’s ground-breaking research has included the development of the
MilliSpotTM polymer technology and the ACROSS bomb-detection project.
She will deliver the M R Banks Lecture on 1 April 2014 at 8 pm in the Royal
Society’s lecture room at the Tasmanian Museum and Art Gallery.
Interested members of the public are warmly invited to attend the Society’s lectures.
Membership of the Royal Society of Tasmania is open to all. Members come from
many walks of life and have a variety of interests.
Since 1849 the Society has published its Papers and Proceedings featuring research
that focuses on Tasmania or is particularly relevant to Tasmanians. Contributions are
of international standard.
More information about the Society is available at: www.rst.org.au
For further information please contact the Society’s publicity officer, Mary Koolhof:
mary.koolhof@gmail.com

The Tasmanian Aborigines and the Constitution of Modern Human Behaviour – Associate Professor Richard Cosgrove – 27 April 2014


Assoc. Prof. Richard Cosgrove will present  ‘The Tasmanian Aborigines and the Constitution of Modern Human Behaviour.’

in the Meeting Room, QVMAG at Inveresk – 2.00 pm Sunday 27th April 2014
Admission: $5 General Public, $3 Friends of the Museum, $2 Students
Free for members of the Royal Society of Tasmania

To assist us with the organization of this event
please RSVP by Thursday 24th April 2014:
Email bookings@qvmag.tas.gov.au or telephone 6323 3798

Research has shown that for the past 40,000 years, the Tasmanian Aborigines used a flaked stone technology similar to European Neanderthals, who lived between c.300,000 to 30,000 years ago. Paradoxically, the people who first crossed by boat from South East Asia to Sahul, the early land mass of New Guinea, Australia and Tasmania, were anatomically and behaviourally modern. They possessed a hafted stone axe technology, ocean going watercraft, practised art, caught deep sea fish, and had ceremonial burials. In this regard, Australia and Tasmania are unique, as there is no correlation between the appearance of these modern behaviours, and the material cultural ‘package’ used in Europe to identify the point at which such behaviours emerged. The purpose of this presentation it to briefly discuss the archaeological variability from Sahul in a global context, and to discuss the Tasmanian Aboriginal people’s response to the changing ice age environments.

Assoc. Prof. Richard Cosgrove gained a BA from the Australian National University, followed by a PhD. on Tasmanian Aboriginal archaeology in 1992, focusing on the comparative palaeoecology and ice age landscapes occupied by Aboriginal people and their habitation sites of Southwest and Southeast Tasmania. He has research and teaching experience in human behavioural ecology, rock art studies, palaeoecology, zooarchaeology, stone artefact analysis and hunter-gatherer archaeology. His field work and research has included both national and international sites in England, China, Jordan and France. He has advised the Tasmanian forest industry, ICOMOS, the World Heritage Centre, the Tasmanian Aboriginal Lands and Sea Council, and has worked closely with both Aboriginal communities and Environmental Protection agencies on indigenous cultural heritage management.

Order of Australia


The Royal Society of Tasmania congratulates the following members on their recent awards:

Dr Margaret Davies OAM: ‘For service to science in the field of herpetology’ (Australia Day Honours List, 2014)

Margaret is the Honorary Editor of all The Royal Society of Tasmania publications.

Mr Anthony (Tony) Culberg OAM: ‘For service to the community of Tasmania’ (Queen’s Birthday Honours List, 2013)

Tony Culberg served as Honorary Secretary of The Royal Society of Tasmania from 2009 to August 2015.

 

A number of other Royal Society members have been honoured in the past.

The Sciences were Never at War: Edward Jenner, FRS, English Cowpox, and the Vaccination of Napoleonic France – Professor Michael Bennett – 23 March 2014


Prof. Michael Bennett, Professor of History, UTAS will present  The Sciences were Never at War: Edward Jenner, FRS, English cowpox, and the vaccination of Napoleonic France

in the Meeting Room, QVMAG at Inveresk
2.00 pm Sunday 23rd March 2014
Admission: $5 General Public, $3 Friends of the Museum, $2 Students
Free for members of The Royal Society of Tasmania

To assist us with the organization of this event
RSVP by Thursday 20th March 2014:
Email bookings@qvmag.tas.gov.au or telephone 6323 3798

In 1798 Edward Jenner, FRS, published his findings showing the inoculation of cowpox provided immunity to smallpox. While the practice was still in its infancy in England, reports and samples of English cowpox “vaccine” were disseminated around the world. This talk considers the introduction of vaccination in Napoleonic France; a remarkable achievement in that Britain and France were at war, and the event involved a London physician, travelling on a special passport, bringing samples to Paris. In 1801 a French address to the Marquis Cornwallis at Amiens praised this action, declaring, “The friends of science never interrupt their fraternal intercourse; and while their governments wield the thunder of war, to decide their political contests, men of letters always remain in peace”.

Michael Bennett is Professor of History at the University of Tasmania and a Fellow of the Australian Academy of Humanities. The author of four books on late medieval and early modern England, he has published papers on European, Australian and Tasmanian history. His most recent project is the early global spread of vaccination, circa 1798-1815. He is currently completing a book on The War against Smallpox to be published by Cambridge University Press in 2015.
Professor Bennett will highlight the role of international collaboration in the global spread of vaccination during the Napoleonic Wars. Napoleon himself was a great supporter of vaccination, and an admirer of Jenner.

Discovering Tasmania’s Eucalypts – March 4 2014 at 8.00pm


DISCOVERING TASMANIA’S EUCALYPTS  presented by

Professor Brad Potts
School of Biological Sciences,
University of Tasmania

March 4 2014 in The Royal Society Room at 8.00 pm following the AGM at 7.30 pm

While representing only 30 of the more than 700 eucalypt species, the Tasmanian eucalypts have a unique place in the history and science of this iconic Australian genus. They include species of global significance such as the tallest flowering plant and the widely grown Tasmanian blue gum. The University of Tasmania has a long history of internationally recognized research in eucalypt genetics. The first major study of eucalypt chromosomes was undertaken in the 1930s, the first DNA study in the early 1990s and scientists are now exploiting whole genome sequences. This talk overviews the scientific discovery of the Tasmanian eucalypts from the early explorers to the unprecedented insights now being provided by modern genetics.

Brad Potts is the Professor of Forest Genetics in the School of Biological Sciences (Plant Science) at the University of Tasmania. He specializes in eucalypt genetics, with his research spanning diverse fields from tree breeding, evolutionary biology to community genetics. The Tasmanian eucalypts have been a focus of his research and with students and colleagues he has published over 200 scientific papers, exploring the genetics and the evolutionary processes that have shaped the island’s eucalypt flora.

 

 

Potts and Reid Proc Roy Soc Tas 2003

The Politics of Insanity – Dr Eric Ratcliff – 23 February 2014


Dr Eric Ratcliff will present The Politics of Insanity.

in the Meeting Room, QVMAG at Inveresk
2.00 pm Sunday 23rd February 2014
Admission: $5 General Public, $3 Friends of the Museum, $2 Students
Free for members of the Royal Society of Tasmania

To assist us with the organization of this event
RSVP by Thursday 20th February 2014:
Email bookings@qvmag.tas.gov.au or telephone 6323 3798

Controversies within the profession of psychiatry have re-entered the public domain, locally with the impending proclamation of a new Mental Health Act in Tasmania, and globally with the publication last year of DSM-5, the fifth edition of the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders of the American Psychiatric Association. When mankind gives a name to anything, it tends to fix and change perceptions of it, and these may have unintended consequences. The address will consider issues surrounding diagnosis in psychiatry, including the effects of developing an influential document. It will also consider the place of medications in the treatment of mental disorders, and public and professional concerns surrounding the marketing of these by powerful pharmaceutical companies increasingly driven by commercial rather than ethical motivations.

Dr Ratcliff was born in Launceston and educated at Launceston High School, the University of Tasmania and the University of Queensland, where he graduated in medicine in 1964.
He has been engaged in the practice of psychiatry since 1967, and became a Member of the ANZ College of Psychiatrists in 1976 and a Fellow of the Royal Australian and New Zealand College of Psychiatrists in 1981. He worked in public practice in Tasmania and Victoria, becoming clinical director of the mental health service based in Launceston before moving in 1985 to private practice in general adult and forensic psychiatry.
He has served as a member of General Council of the RANZCP for a total of 15 years, and chaired its committees concerned with appropriate practice and professional ethics for eight years. He was awarded the College Medal of Honour in 2006.
He has not been able to find time to retire, but in his spare time he is an architectural historian, and his major work, a history of building and architecture in Tasmania from Aboriginal times to 1914, is to published later this

SPECIAL LECTURE February 4 2014 How warm is the water? or How much warm water?


Dr Jan Zika was the Royal Society Doctoral Award winner in 2011. He will be in Hobart in February and has offered to give a special lecture for members on TUESDAY 4 FEBRUARY 2014 at 8.00 pm in the Royal Society Room, Customs House Building, 17 Davey St. Hobart

How warm is the water? or How much warm water?
Perspective matters when exploring the deep ocean.

 

Dr Jan Zika
The University of Southampton, National Oceanography Centre, UK

Abstract

What physical mechanisms set the deep ocean circulation? How will it respond if the atmosphere becomes warmer and windier? How does water constrain the response of the climate to warming and how can we use the ocean to detect this response?
In any thermodynamic problem the mere choice of coordinate system can be potent and far-reaching. In 1824 Carnot wanted to understand how exchanges of heat and entropy affected a steam engine. So, he distilled the problem into a diagram with temperature as one axis and entropy as the other. This simple step led to what is now known as the Carnot Cycle and from it the general understanding of the bounds on the efficiency of all heat engines. When approaching the problem of the ocean’s thermohaline circulation (thermo meaning heat and haline meaning salt) we did so with a simple quantitative diagram with heat as one axis and salt as the other. This simple change of perspective has led to dramatic insights into the way the ocean works and how we measure it.

In this talk I will introduce the novel framework developed during and beyond my PhD and will show how this approach is helping us to disentangle some of the key questions outlined above.

Biography

In 2005 Jan completed a combined Mathematics/Physics degree at the University of Tasmania with 1st class Honours in Astrophysics. From 2006 till 2009 Jan undertook a PhD through the University of New South Wales, and CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Laboratories in Hobart, Tasmania. As his Thesis, Jan developed a new inverse technique for estimating rates of vertical and lateral diffusion in the global ocean.

From 2009-2011 Jan undertook a Postdoctoral Research Fellowship in Grenoble, France and in 2011-2012 Jan was a Research Fellow at the Climate Change Research Centre at the University of New South Wales in Sydney Australia. His emphasis there moved towards new and innovative methods for understanding the global climate system and change.

From 2012 Jan has been a NERC Research Fellow at the University of Southampton, National Oceanography Centre. There he works with a range of students, post-doctoral fellows and other collaborators on climate related problems with a focus on the ocean’s water masses, their origins and fate.

The Long Road Back from the Edge of Extinction by Robin Walpole [full text of presentation]


 

Firstly – let me put our current situation into context and say that this isn’t the first time Tasmanian Railways have nearly died – it is the third.

And Secondly – the jury is still out on the Long Term Survival aspect of the current re-capitalisation.

The Tasmanian Railway Dilemma:

Because of the small size of the market – the small population, the small tonnages on offer and the relatively small distances, railways in Tasmania have always struggled.

This is again not helped by the fact that Tasmanian is the most mountainous state of Australia – making construction and on-going infrastructure maintenance expensive.

Tasmanian has a total population of 512,000.

The current Tasrail operational system consists of 642 route km of single track.

The longest container route haul of Hobart to Burnie is 360 km.

We currently carry 2.5 million nett tonnes of freight for 366 m nett tonne km – and no passengers.

By comparison:

  • Kiwi Rail – the system most like us in the region has 4000 route km and 4,000 million nett tonne km.
  • Generally accepted minimum container route haul – 600 km (Auckland to Christchurch, Melbourne to Sydney, Brisbane to Rockhampton).

Where we have come from:

The first railways in Tasmania were built and operated by private companies.

  • The Launceston and Deloraine – a 5 ft 3 in gauge railway of 1871.
  • The Tasmanian Mainline Railway Company – a 3 ft 6 in railway of 1876 from Hobart to Launceston.

Both of these companies encountered financial difficulties with the Tasmanian government taking over the L & D in 1872 and the TMR in 1890.

The second failure is not necessarily popularly seen as such. However when the Whitlam government offered to take over the Tasmanian Government Railway (TGR) system, the system was deeply in debt and extremely run down, both from a rollingstock and a track and bridges infrastructure point of view.

The Commonwealth Government via its Australian National Railways Commission invested in more modern and efficient locomotives and resleepered and rerailed much of the key network. A number of major deviations were constructed and the rail in the key network was welded into continuous lengths.

In the effort to drive value for money, maximum use was made of part/worn materials from other Australian systems. Some of the compromises associated with the second hand rollingstock and material were to come back later to haunt the current management.

With the privatisation of AN in 1998 to the foreign owned consortium of Australian Transport Network (ATN), some recapitilisation continued. This new owner further emphasised the AN preference for North American railroad management and operations, the introduction of second hand EMD locomotives and a move to 18 tal on the core network.

International business far remote from Australia dictated the ultimate destiny of ATN as various companies rationalised, merged, failed or were sold off.

Finally ownership returned to “local” hands with the Toll Group’s Pacific National division acquired operational ownership in 2004.

Notable events in the PN years were the purchase of the Emu Bay Railway and the purchase of the refurbished MKA Class locomotives.

The business under PN struggled to generate sufficient funds to pay for its on-going infrastructure maintenance. This generated a downward spiral where differed maintenance impacted on reliability which in turn drove down traffic levels.

A series of derailments – at one point – more than once a week – sucked customer confidence and drove up operational costs.

PN had had enough and wanted out. Even this wasn’t easy as the Tasmanian government took some time to come to a decision.

The Concept of the Owner of Last Resort:

Again the railway was in a state of serious disrepair and another recapitalization would be necessary.

From 1978 until 2005, the Tasmanian government largely ignored the railway and it took some time for them to again relearn the concept of “Owner of Last Resort”.

It doesn’t matter who owns it, if you are the responsible government and you allow the railway to collapse, then there are serious financial and economic dis-benefits to the local economy – especially to the on-going maintenance costs of the parallel highway system.

Unfortunately, Tasmania was – as usual – rather cash strapped.

But there are always consequences. Our highway system is now still struggling to recover from the damage inflicted by the closedown of PN services.

A quick summary of the problems:

In using the phrase “condemned”, “life expired” or “in urgent need of repair”, the term when applied to the Tasmanian railway network generally described a condition that is well beyond normally accepted “condemnation” levels.

Bridges:

One major and several other medium sized timber bridges in urgent need of repair.

Transoms on all bridges seriously life expired.

Four major non-timber bridges in urgent need of replacement.

Rail wear:

Rail wear exceeded the normally accepted understanding of Rail Wear Condemn Limits. Derailments were occurring due to excessive rail wear.

Track:

  • Little ballast – especially on the shoulders – and the track is largely steel sleepers on Continuous Welded Rail that needs shoulder ballast.
  • A remaining high proportion of timber sleepers in the network – nearly all life expired.
  • Many early steel sleepers failing or failed.
  • Interspersed timber and various steel sleeper types causing formation pumping due to uneven track stiffness.
  • Poor formation – largely uncompacted original in-situ material – poorly drained.

Level Crossings:

  • Most level crossings life expired. Both track and road surface.
  • Level crossing protections systems life expired.

Drainage and Vegetation Control:

  • Side drainage blocked or non-existent
  • Vegetation cleared by passing traffic. Trees falling across the track a regular occurrence.

Staff and Contractor skills:

  • No in-house technical expertise – in engineering or railway engineering
  • All corporate engineering knowledge effectively lost
  • Residual staff competent but technically isolated
  • Local Contractors – mainly road based, with little railway understanding
  • Specialist railway contractors – mainland imports working on a fly in fly out basis – often with very little understanding of the special needs of a lightly built marginal narrow gauge railway.

Maintenance Access:

  • No road or vehicle track access. All access  for track maintenance by hi-rail vehicle

Past Compromises: The good intentions of the AN years now complicate matters:

AN acquired and transferred to Tasrail a vast quantity of rail and steel sleepers off the North Australia railway with its closure in 1976. The 80 CR rail was originally off the Trans Australia Railway and was rolled by varying manufacturers in 1913 – 1915.

Rail:

The 80 CR rail is generally a poorer quality steel. It doesn’t perform nearly as well as the lighter 1940/50s 63 lb TGR rail. Wearability, rail breaks and web collapse.

Sleepers:

  • Interspersed sleepers – a random interspersed pattern of timber and 3 different types of steel sleeper – resulted in variable track stiffness and inevitably to a pumping track/formation.
  • The NA sleepers are 6 mm tight for gauge in 1067 mm gauge track. Many were placed in tight radius curves with heavily side worn rail. (Nominal gauge 1067 mm + 12 mm). When the rail in the curves is replaced without resleepering – the curve is nominally 18 mm tight.  This results in higher levels of both wheel and rail wear.

 And Tasrail is Re-born – in December 2009:

The Tasmanian government resumed responsibility for the network in 2009 and together with extensive Commonwealth funding, set about rebuilding the network.

A new wholly Tasmanian government owned private company has been set up to manage the railway network.

So far the task list is as follows:

  •  Bridges replaced or upgraded – 38
  • Bridge transoms replaced – 5,000
  • Replaced sleepers – 300,000
  • New rail – 52 km
  • Welds – 5000
  • Ballast – 62,000 tonnes
  • Level crossings equipment upgrades – 124
  • Replaced and/or repaired 4 major culverts.
  • 3 major slips

2013

This year Tasrail will replace 4 major bridges and install 60 km of concrete sleepers in the critical sections of the Brighton to Burnie corridor.

We have been fortunate in being able to access concrete sleepers and part/worn 47 kg rail at a reasonable price.

Drainage and vegetation is under control. The track is stabilising and the Track Condition is improving and the Temporary Speed Restrictions are reducing.

The first of our new locomotives and wagons will arrive. A momentous occasion for Rollingstock – the first new locomotives in Tasmania since the last of the ZA Class in 1976.

We are back to a normally functioning railway – but it is still a Work in Progress.

New Rollingstock:

Our current locomotive and wagon fleet is 40 years old and made up of historic TGR stock and second-hand stock from other Australian railways, including Standard Gauge railways.

While the infrastructure work was primarily funded by Commonwealth monies, the Tasmanian Government has been largely responsible for funding the “above” rail portion.

  • Hi-rail maintenance trucks – 15
  • Tamping machine and Regulator – 1 +1
  • Wagons
  • Locomotives – 17

Remaining Challenges:

  • The extensive system of 100 m reverse curves.
  • The 1 in 40 grades – mainly associated with 100 m radius curves.
  • 200 track km of life expired 80 CR rail

The Future:

The present doesn’t ensure the future. And without sufficient investment funding – there will be no future. Our current tonnage – and the current prospects for tonnage, makes financial re-investment in infrastructure problematical. The par dyne has not changed. We can cover our short-term maintenance costs and with traffic growth – probably our full maintenance cycle costs.

We cannot rely on container traffic alone.  We have two important small bulk traffics – cement from Railton to Devonport and mineral concentrates from the West Coast mines. The prospect for growth in the West Coast mines is good – but unlikely to exceed 2 m Nt.

Coal – the original railway commodity – there are good prospects of modest export tonnages.

This leaves investment by Infrastructure Australia. We are quietly confident of funding under NB2 to complete the concrete resleepering and rerailing from Brighton to Burnie.

While we are fighting – and fighting with a substantial chance – the jury is still out on the long term survival of Tasmanian Railways.

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